I have been a fan of the Minnesota Vikings football team for many years, as long as I can remember being a fan of anything, I guess. It is for all the usual reasons: geography, Norwegian-ness, Grandma Aggie. In 1998, the Vikings reached an apex of sorts, and for a year they had what was clearly the best team in pro football. They were demolishing teams, winning by wide margins, scoring almost at will, setting all kinds of offensive records. I remember getting very wrapped up in the Vikings, reading all kinds of rah-rah stuff about them, leaning on each week's win like a junkie's fix. Then, against Atlanta in the NFC Championship Game, the game that decides which team goes to the Super Bowl, they lost. Somehow they lost.
Over time, I've given up much of my love for football. I still enjoy the game, sure, but I simply don't find it as compelling as baseball, and I don't find it as elegant or pure as basketball. It's an odd, continually modernized sport, like a big video game that combines the WWF and the board game Stratego. In one rare moment where I agreed with him, columnist George Will described football as "combining the worst elements of American society: violence and committee meetings."
I still watch the Vikings whenever I can. This year, though, I've had more fun dispassionately analyzing the team's strengths and woes. It's the same pattern as when I watch cable news: the fun is in picking them apart and being a harmless critic. So, allow me to pick apart the 2004 Minnesota Vikings. For those that detest football, you'll want to skip the rest of this post, or at least skim over it to catch the innovative analogies.
The Vikings were heralded, as the season began, as a legitimate title contender in the NFC. This is the third year of coach Mike Tice's regime, and the team very publicly bragged up its offseason dealing, centered around the big-money signing of cornerback Antoine Winfield. The 2003 draft turned out very well, by any measure, and there was much excitement about the 2004 draft picks. The assumption was, this staff knows how to draft, this staff has a plan to put together a terrific team, and this team is doing it all while skillfully managing the league's salary-cap rules for player salaries.
In my view, the last part is very true: the Vikings have become very good at managing the salary cap. The cap is one of those economic mirages, much like household debt or tax shelters. Teams can't spend more than a certain amount every year, under the terms of the league's collective bargaining agreement. The amount is largely derived from the amount of the NFL's television contract, in which there are no local networks for football. Everything is national (a unique thing in pro sports), and all the money is shared equally among the teams, making them all, well, rich. Very rich. The league's merchandising deals are also similarly shared, much to the disgust of uber-capitalists like Jerry Jones (Cowboys owner) or car salesman Red McCombs (who owns the Vikings), but these egalitarian measures are precisely the reason the league is so financially sound. The NFL is a model among professional leagues; consumers can't get enough of the stuff on TV, most of the teams enter each season realistically believing they can win a title, and teams have come out of nowhere to win titles in the past few years. As opposed to baseball, where the Yankees take in about $150 million more in TV and radio contracts each year than the Minnesota Twins (and spend accordingly), the NFL splits all that money equally, right down the middle, among all the teams.
Vikings Red McCombs has loudly lobbied for a new stadium for years. He has owned the Vikings since 1998, and his modus operandi as a sports team owner is to buy low and sell high, which corresponds nicely to his legendary car-salesman reputation. Red has found that it's harder to fool an entire state into buying a lemon, and it's led to an interesting pas-de-deux now where the Minnesota State Legislature and team officials go back and forth about the other's responsibilities. Basically, Minnesota voters and legislators have been exceedingly smart in voting down publicly-funded stadium measures. These deals are usually boondoggles foisted on local taxpayers, and with regressive tax policies starving local governments more than ever, it is hard to justify spending hundreds of millions of dollars on a stadium where a billionaire will reap all of the profits. I know, I know, you're probably thinking: what about if the public funds part of the stadium, and then makes part of the money? But that's what we currently have, in the Metrodome. And owners around the league complain about how poor a stadium it is, and how poor a stadium deal it is for the Vikings, since the public actually does get back some of its investment under the terms of the lease.
Now, the Metrodome has the Vikings signed up through 2011. After that, it's anybody's guess where the Vikings might go or what they might build. Red will probably have sold the team: after the next round of TV talks, the owners will be sitting on a fabulous return on their investment. McCombs is 76, and it's hard to ignore that much profit. McCombs knows that the Vikings are much more likely to build a stadium with a local owner (like Timberwolves owner Glen Taylor, who is the likely suitor), and McCombs knows that his threats to move the team are so much bluster: the NFL really needs the Vikings in Minnesota, because Minnesota is one of the highest-rated TV markets in the country, and there isn't a metropolitan area on earth, including Los Angeles, that can make up for the image fallout. The league's recent franchise moves have a very mixed record: the Cardinals moved from St. Louis to Arizona. The Cardinals were terrible in St. Louis, and they're even more terrible in Phoenix. More fans from the opposing team go to the games in Phoenix, which hasn't even bothered to build the team a stadium yet. The Los Angeles Rams then moved to St. Louis, leaving the NFL without a team in L. A., the country's second-largest city. But no one goes to football games in L. A., and the Raiders continued the trend by moving from L. A. back to their original home in Oakland.
There are two examples which are relevant to the Vikings' situation: the Colts and the Browns. The Colts left Baltimore in the middle of the night (seriously) in the 1982, and set up shop in Indianapolis, building a new facility called the RCA Dome. Dome teams don't do very well in football, because it's rather fake, and so the Colts have been an erratic team which hasn't been a real threat to win a championship, despite some real star power like running back Eric Dickerson in the 1980's and quarterback Peyton Manning now. The Colts are currently very good, but their legacy is in Baltimore, playing outside, where they won numerous titles in the 50's, 60's and 70's, and where they spawned legends like Don Shula and Johnny Unitas. Sure enough, the NFL ended up sticking a team in Baltimore (more on that in the next paragraph), and that team, the Ravens, won a title in 2001, while the Colts still haven't won in their new home.
The Ravens became a team in Baltimore by leaving Cleveland in a very bitter and acrimonious pulling of strings. The fans in Cleveland were disgusted by owner Art Modell's bad-faith negotiating, and the NFL quickly realized by rectifying the situation in Baltimore they had created an even bigger problem in Cleveland. The Browns had dominated the NFL once they moved to the league from the rival AAFL in the 1950's, and they had one of the most passionate fan bases in sports. So, the NFL rewarded them with an expansion franchise, named the Browns, in 1999. They've been terrible ever since.
If the Vikings were to actually move, the NFL would have a problem on its hands that would easily rival the Cleveland mess, and it would probably be much worse. Leagues have made a habit of moving out of Minnesota (or threatening to), and then cleaning up the mess later with an expansion team. The Lakers left Minneapolis after winning several NBA titles, relocating to the sunnier climes of Los Angeles. The Lakers have since blossomed into the NBA's premier franchise, and the league eventually threw Minnesota a bone in the form of the expansion Timberwolves. After a decade of grave futility, the Wolves have built around a remarkable player that they drafted out of high school, and they may be the strongest team in the NBA. The North Stars of hockey left for Dallas, renaming themselves the Stars, and after people realized that Texans don't care much for hockey (but Minnesotans still do), the NHL expanded back into Minnesota with the Wild. The NHL might never play again, but I still use the example. If the Vikings left, the team would probably go to L. A., and they would be renamed, and there would be a huge negative fallout, and the loss of the Vikings-Packers rivalry, which gets the best TV ratings in the country for NFL matchups. Really, it does, every year. That's why every Vikings-Packers game is a nationwide telecast, either a game of the week on Fox, or a prime time special (like this coming Friday's Christmas Eve oddity). The NFL would waste little time in relocating a team to Minnesota, with, preferably, an outdoor stadium.
So, Red McCombs is from Texas, and he bought the Vikings in order to make money. Lots of it. And the league is flush with cash. The teams all have a bunch of money to spend on coaches and players, and in addition to a salary cap ceiling, there is a salary cap floor: in the name of competition, each team is required to spend a certain minimum amount on players. This is designed to increase the competitiveness of all the teams from year to year, and you don't have situations like those that occur in baseball, where smaller markets remain ever the paupers, selling off their big stars and pocketing the revenue sharing money while the team loses many more games than it wins each year. There are no Expos, or Royals, or even Twins in football, not in financial terms. Everybody can compete. There is no David-vs.-Goliath component. The only real way a team can get the shaft is if the owner is a bigger cheapskate than most owners.
Red McCombs is that cheapskate. For all the talk about smart cap management and making a serious run for the NFL title, the sad, plain fact is this: had the Vikings NOT signed cornerback Antoine Winfield to a big-money free agent deal, they would have been in violation of league rules for not spending the MINIMUM required to field a competitive team. The Vikings have taken to restructuring their two big contracts (Moss and Culpepper) to cover their lack of spending in other areas. This results in a very healthy financial picture, and lots of "cap room" every offseason. The fact that Moss and Culpepper are on the team means that even a drooling idiot could coach the team to a respectable record, and the team's loyal fan base isn't going to revolt anytime soon. So, Red has it good, because he pockets tens of millions of dollars each year that he ought to be spending on players. Patriots owner Bob Kraft spends the money on players, which tends to help the Patriots when they have to play defense, for instance, or if someone gets injured. And Kraft even spent his own money to build a stadium!! The old-fashioned way! He paid for it, he makes the profits! But, then again, Kraft is a blue-state owner in a blue-state. The Vikings' red-state owner clearly has a philosophy at odds with Minnesota's blue-collar progressivism. And the Vikings fans are being sold a false bill of goods.
There has been a lot of hand-wringing about coach Mike Tice and some of his decisions. Well, Mike Tice is only the coach because Red McCombs is a cheapskate. Red is looking to maximize profits, NOT performance. The two are rarely maximized concurrently, especially in a league where the wages are unionized, like football, or making cars. Japan has figured this out, as has Germany, as has the Saturn corporation. Even the Ford Motor Company is realizing this (after all, they have profited handsomely in fielding a perpetually shitty team in the Detroit Lions). Anyway, Tice was hired because he was the cheapest option, anywhere. He makes less money than any other NFL coach, and his club option for next year is similarly miserish. So Red McCombs would need a real change of heart, or a real show of public dissatisfaction, to replace his cheap coach. The other reason Tice was retained: he was offensive line coach when Korey Stringer died before the 2001 season, ostensibly from complications resulting from heatstroke. The Vikings were staring at huge potential liabilities for that death, as well as a string of damaging court procedures, and by retaining Tice, they helped cover their ass.
Well, you get what you pay for. Tice is probably not the worst coach in the league, but he's not going to be confused with one of the best. He appears genuinely confused that the other team took all week to prepare a game plan to exploit the Vikings' weaknesses. His teams often appear overmatched, over and over, in ways that could be addressed, with a little more money spent on players, and a little more coaching experience and acumen. They need a defense, badly, since good teams find little resistance from the Vikings' defense. The Falcons needed a defense, too, and they hired a defensive coach, and they spent a little money on defensive talent, and they already have a defense, the VERY NEXT YEAR. The Vikings have needed a defense for seven or eight years, ever since former coach Dennis Green's talented stable of coaches left for promotions elsewhere. Consider that Green's staff in 1994 included Tony Dungy (now Indianapolis head coach) as defensive coordinator, Monte Kiffin (the architect of Tampa Bay's Super Bowl champion defense) as inside linebackers coach, Brian Billick (Baltimore Ravens head coach and 2001 Super Bowl winner) as an offensive assistant, Tom Moore (now Peyton Manning's mentor and coordinator in Indy) as an offensive coach, and Tyrone Willingham (new head coach at the University of Washington) as an offensive coach. The Vikings have much more talent than they had in 1994, but they have much less coaching talent. You get what you pay for.
More later. Perhaps the Vikings will play well against Detroit today and render much of my musing irrelevant. Perhaps not.